Depois da queda, o coice: Seca nos EUA agora ameaça produção de carne

Mais seco do que língua de papagaio.

Nearly two thirds of the contiguous United States was experiencing some level of drought by the end of August 2012, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. 39 percent of the nation suffered from severe to extreme drought. Though the numbers changed a bit in mid-September, the drought parched much of the interior United States and left both domestic and wild animals scrounging for food.

The browning and withering of vegetation in the United States and northern Mexico is clear in this vegetation anomaly map based on data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Terra and Aqua satellites. The map contrasts plant health in August 2012 (the most recent full month available) against the average conditions between 2002 and 2012. Brown areas show where plant growth, or “greenness,” was below normal; greens indicate vegetation that is more widespread or abundant than normal for the time of year. Grays depict areas where data was not available.

The map is based on the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), a measure of how plant leaves absorb visible light and reflect infrared light. Drought-stressed vegetation reflects more visible light and less infrared than healthy vegetation.

“By far, this is the driest year we have seen since the launch of MODIS,” said Molly Brown, a vegetation and food security researcher at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center. “I am struck by the extraordinary depth and spatial scale of this drought. There is very little fodder out there for animals to eat.” Farmers and ranchers across the country are expecting losses, and nearly two dozen states have been made eligible for drought aid.

“The vegetation index helps us see how much or how little live plant material is out there,” said Brown. Regardless of how much rainfall an area gets or needs in a certain time period—and regardless of whether it is a forest, plains, mountain, or desert ecosystem—NDVI allows researchers to compare how green the landscape is with how green it has been in previous years. It allows researchers to see how the landscape is being affected by the scarcity of water or by other environmental stresses.

In August 2012, the NDVI was strongly negative from the Rocky Mountains, across the Great Plains to the Mississippi and Ohio River valleys. Much of northern Mexico appeared to be drought-stricken as well. A few patches of above-normal growth appear in Canada’s Alberta and Saskatchewan provinces;, in Arizona and Nevada; and along the shores of the Gulf of California in Mexico.

The 2012 drought is the worst observed since the U.S. Drought Monitor began operating in 2000. The program is a collaboration between the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), and about 350 drought observers across the country. The group has recently started incorporating data from NASA’s GRACE satellites into its drought assessments.

For its part, NASA has been working with the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service to develop the Global Agricultural Monitoring system (GLAM). The idea is to translate the satellite measurements of NDVI and other vegetation indices into tools that can be used to assess the stability and security of food supplies in the United States and globally. Agricultural monitors combine integrate vegetation indices with measurements of precipitation, estimates of soil moisture, and other variables to anticipate gains or losses in agricultural production. You can view the GLAM global map of NDVI anomalies by clicking here.

Sources

NASA Earth Observatory (2012, July 17) Drought Grips the United States.

NASA Global Inventory Monitoring and Modeling Studies (n.d.) GLAM System. Accessed October 2, 2012.

NOAA National Climatic Data Center (2012, September 17) State of the Climate: Drought 2012. Accessed October 2, 2012.

University of Nebraska–Lincoln (n.d.) U.S. Dought Monitor. Accessed October 2, 2012.
USDA Foreign Agricultural Service (n.d.) Global Crop Production Analysis—Global Agricultural Monitoring Accessed October 2, 2012.

NASA Earth Observatory image by Jesse Allen, using data provided by the United State Department of Agriculture Foreign Agriculture Service and processed by Jennifer Small and Assaf Anyamba, NASA GIMMS Group at Goddard Space Flight Center and the Foreign Agriculture Service (FAS) Global Agricultural Monitoring Project (GLAM) Project. Caption by Mike Carlowicz.

Instrument: Terra - MODIS